4 Jul · 17:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1562
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rulc
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1574
FormWLWLW
49%
51%
🌟Rulc goes over total as favourite 63% (30)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.