4 Jul · 13:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1552
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Troyan
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1522
FormLWWLL
53%
47%
🌟Osadchyi covers set handicap as underdog 83% (29)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.