4 Jul · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1492
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mejzlik
VC
🇺🇦Vaclav Coubal
ELO 1430
FormWWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Mejzlik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)