4 Jul · 17:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1654
FormLWLWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Aristarkhov
AV
🇺🇦Andrii Vasylets
ELO 1497
FormLLWLL
66%
34%
🌟Vasylets covers set handicap as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Aristarkhov
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H35-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-22)