4 Jul · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1463
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Tkachenko
AT
🇺🇦Alexander Tkachenko
ELO 1529
FormLLWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Tkachenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H27-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-26)