4 Jul · 16:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇺🇦Kyrylo Kuchyna
ELO 1528
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kuchyna
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1492
FormWLLWW
54%
46%
🌟Dobrovolskyi stays under total as underdog 70% (27)
Fair odds · Kuchyna
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.