4 Jul · 11:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1417
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stopin
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Stopin
ELO 1473
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Stopin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 23% · 4.27· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H1-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)