4 Jul · 13:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YM
🇺🇦Yaroslav Makovka
ELO 1449
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Oprishchenko
EO
🇺🇦Egor Oprishchenko
ELO 1539
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Oprishchenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+90
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)