4 Jul · 12:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1475
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Abraham
PA
🇺🇦Petr Abraham
ELO 1525
FormWWWLL
45%
55%
🌟Jirousek covers set handicap as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Abraham
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)