4 Jul · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Ponomarenko
ELO 1385
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Mykhalchenko
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
ELO 1470
FormLWWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Mykhalchenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H6-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)