4 Jul · 12:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VH
🇺🇦Vit Herrmann
ELO 1446
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vorel
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1510
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
🌟Vorel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (23)
Fair odds · Vorel
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)