4 Jul · 12:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotiash
ELO 1536
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kotiash
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1519
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Smyk covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Kotiash
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H28-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.