4 Jul · 16:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RL
🇺🇦Ruslan Lazebny
ELO 1505
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lazebny
OH
🇺🇦Orest Hura
ELO 1500
FormWWWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hura🌟Lazebny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (46)
Fair odds · Lazebny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.