4 Jul · 16:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AT
🇺🇦Alexander Tuzhylin
ELO 1718
FormLWWWL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Tuzhylin
EP
🇺🇦Evgeniy Pismenniy
ELO 1436
FormLWLWL
77%
23%
🌟Pismenniy covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Tuzhylin
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~74 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
18%
2-3
9%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+282
H2H133-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+282)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (133-6)