4 Jul · 14:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1532
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1552
FormWLLLL
48%
52%
🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (42)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H12-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.