4 Jul · 15:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1463
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Bondarchuk
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bondarchuk
ELO 1558
FormWWLLW
40%
60%
🌟Bondarchuk goes over total as favourite 73% (15)
Fair odds · Bondarchuk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H53-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-28)