4 Jul · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1463
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hermakivskyi
IH
🇺🇦Illia Hermakivskyi
ELO 1538
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Hermakivskyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)