4 Jul · 15:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RC
🇺🇦Roman Cherevko
ELO 1547
FormWLLWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Cherevko
RR
🇺🇦Roman Reznychenko
ELO 1357
FormLLLWL
69%
31%
🌟Cherevko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (13)
Fair odds · Cherevko
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~80 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+190
H2H87-69
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+190)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (87-69)