4 Jul · 15:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇺🇦Kyrylo Kuchyna
ELO 1528
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kuchyna
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1513
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
🌟Kuchyna stays under total as favourite 63% (19)
Fair odds · Kuchyna
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~72 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H2-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.