4 Jul · 16:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RC
🇺🇦Roman Cherevko
ELO 1547
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Masko
YM
🇺🇦Yevhen Masko
ELO 1589
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Masko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H90-66
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.