4 Jul · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1574
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Heinzl
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1616
FormLWLLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rulc🌟Rulc covers set handicap as underdog 72% (29)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H17-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.