4 Jul · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1647
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rak
RH
🇺🇦Ruslan Haiseniuk
ELO 1591
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
🌟Rak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (29)
Fair odds · Rak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)