4 Jul · 15:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1492
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hrybeniuk
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
ELO 1541
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Dobrovolskyi stays under total as underdog 70% (27)
Fair odds · Hrybeniuk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 70% · 1.44· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)