4 Jul · 12:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1513
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1532
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
🌟Yakimenko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (38)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H66-56
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.