4 Jul · 14:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IK
🇺🇦Ihor Kvak
ELO 1508
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kozoriz
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1513
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kozoriz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~70 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.