4 Jul · 14:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OL
🇺🇦Oleh Lutsyshyn
ELO 1538
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lutsyshyn
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1492
FormWLLWW
55%
45%
🌟Dobrovolskyi stays under total as underdog 70% (27)
Fair odds · Lutsyshyn
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)