4 Jul · 12:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1568
FormLLWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Pesternikov
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1677
FormWWLWW
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Romaniak🌟Romaniak covers set handicap as underdog 81% (36)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H20-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)