4 Jul · 15:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Valeriy Melnik
ELO 1559
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Masko
YM
🇺🇦Yevhen Masko
ELO 1589
FormWLWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Masko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H64-81
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.