4 Jul · 11:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1677
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pesternikov
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1647
FormWWWWW
53%
47%
🌟Pesternikov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H62-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.