4 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Michal Snizek
ELO 1459
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Snizek
VC
🇺🇦Vaclav Coubal
ELO 1430
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Snizek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.