4 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1553
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Emets
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1567
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Emets
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.