4 Jul · 12:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1552
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Prus
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Palii
ELO 1526
FormLWWWL
53%
47%
🌟Prus stays under total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Prus
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H7-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.