4 Jul · 16:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IK
🇺🇦Ihor Kvak
ELO 1508
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lutsyshyn
OL
🇺🇦Oleh Lutsyshyn
ELO 1538
FormWWLWW
47%
53%
🌟Lutsyshyn stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Lutsyshyn
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.