4 Jul · 16:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YS
🇺🇦Yurii Shmyndra
ELO 1485
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Shmyndra
OM
🇺🇦Oleksii Mitla
ELO 1420
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Mitla covers set handicap as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Shmyndra
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)