4 Jul · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OH
🇺🇦Orest Hura
ELO 1500
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hura
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotyk
ELO 1445
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
🌟Kotyk stays under total as underdog 68% (34)
Fair odds · Hura
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)