4 Jul · 10:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1552
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Prus
OA
🇺🇦Oleksandr Alieksieev
ELO 1547
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Prus stays under total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Prus
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.