4 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LS
🇺🇦Ludek Stoces
ELO 1455
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stoces
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1444
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
🌟Kubos goes over total as underdog 62% (29)
Fair odds · Stoces
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.