4 Jul · 15:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1654
FormLWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Aristarkhov
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1483
FormLWLWL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Aristarkhov
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+171
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)