5 Jul · 06:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1504
FormLWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kovalchuk
OM
🇺🇦Oleksii Mitla
ELO 1409
FormWWLLL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mitla🌟Mitla covers set handicap as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H22-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-9)