5 Jul · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotyk
ELO 1474
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kotyk
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1432
FormWLLWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shypilov🌟Kotyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (20)
Fair odds · Kotyk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)