5 Jul · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1611
FormWLWLW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Fedoryshyn
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fedoryshyn
ELO 1833
FormWLWLL
28%
72%
Fair odds · Fedoryshyn
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~75 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+222
H2H34-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+222)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-3)