5 Jul · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YS
🇺🇦Yurii Shmyndra
ELO 1489
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Shmyndra
OM
🇺🇦Oleksii Mitla
ELO 1409
FormWWLLL
58%
42%
🌟Mitla covers set handicap as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Shmyndra
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)