5 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Blashkun
ELO 1437
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Makovka
YM
🇺🇦Yaroslav Makovka
ELO 1445
FormWLWLL
49%
51%
🌟Blashkun stays under total as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Makovka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.