5 Jul · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1504
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lutsyshyn
OL
🇺🇦Oleh Lutsyshyn
ELO 1528
FormLWLLW
47%
53%
🌟Lutsyshyn stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Lutsyshyn
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H0-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.