5 Jul · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1611
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hubenko
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1657
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Hubenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H74-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (74-33)