5 Jul · 08:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Stopin
ELO 1475
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Stopin
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1389
FormWWWWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Stopin
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)