5 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OT
🇺🇦Oleh Torianyk
ELO 1614
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kolesnik
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kolesnik
ELO 1637
FormLLWLW
48%
52%
🌟Kolesnik stays under total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Kolesnik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H33-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.