5 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇺🇦Martin Melisek
ELO 1574
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Melisek
PH
🇺🇦Pavel Hala
ELO 1553
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Hala covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Melisek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.