5 Jul · 07:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1759
FormLLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Lushchyk
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1665
FormWWWWL
60%
40%
🌟Aristarkhov covers set handicap as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Lushchyk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H37-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-26)