5 Jul · 07:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1431
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Khalenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1452
FormLLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.